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Risk

If you’re reading this, the chances that you are on Facebook are relatively high. And sadly, the chances that you personally will duplicate Mark Zuckerberg’s business success are relatively low. Very few of us will take our companies public, let along profit so handsomely during our careers.

What we can do, however, is learn from this success. And particularly, learn from the Facebook IPO.

The key to this is the prospectus. This document gives a prospective investor all of the information they need to make a knowledgeable investment decision.  Unfortunately, most investors – or members of the general public – never see the prospectus. Test this amongst your friends and family: how many of them have personally reviewed the Facebook prospectus, the most publicized IPO in the history of the world? Likely, very few. 

If we dissect the prospectus document, there are three items that are highly relevant – and that most “non-IPO” leaders should consider:

1) Risk Factors:  This is a multi-page, open-the-kimono look at everything that might possibly go wrong.  Everything from tech trends to competitive threats to internal weaknesses, and then some.  Insight:  How often do companies – or people – openly and honestly look in the mirror?  (It’s easier to believe your own PR.)

2) History:  For several years prior to an IPO, the company must run their organization in a squeaky-clean, financially-sound manner, and their audited financial statements in the prospectus must reflect this.  Insight:  It is impossible to turn back the clock.  Three years from now, if you want to look back at a history of great results, then the great results must start in the present.  Interestingly, this is also true of our reputations, something that many people and organizations forget when it comes to Social Media. 

3) Transparency:  If the goal of the prospectus is to ensure that all investors have what they need to properly make their investment decisions, then there should be no “hidden” areas of nondisclosure.  Within the document, you can find details on the controlling shareholders, executive compensation, legal considerations – and more – on 186 pages, plus exhibits.  There is complete transparency.  Insight:  Many organizations aren’t particularly transparent, instead rationing information to their employees, clients, suppliers, and other stakeholders.  Or worse, “spinning” it.  While not advocating the words of Facebook’s CEO Mark Zuckerberg (“privacy is a thing of the past”), what’s the worst that could happen if those around you knew “too much”?  Perhaps alignment, accountability, and better decision-making?

This week’s action plan: While writing a prospectus is probably not top of your to-do list, spending a few minutes on one of Risk Factors, History, or Transparency is probably doable.  Answer one of these questions this week:  What are the Risk Factors in my organization?  History: is there anything we should do now (or stop doing now) that will be important several years from now?  Transparency:  Where can we be more open with our colleagues, clients, suppliers, and other important relationships?

Postscript:  If you are interested in reading the Facebook IPO prospectus, it’s available here.

 Note: The Make It Happen Tipsheet is also available by email. Go to www.RandallCraig.com to register.

Randall Craig

www.RandallCraig.com
www.ptadvisors.com
www.ProfessionallySpeakingTV.com

In 1997 there was no Google. In 2002 there was no Facebook. There was no Twitter in 2004, and the iPad only made it’s debut in 2009. There is no indication that the pace of innovation will slow, so how can you plan for the future when the target is moving , and moving quickly?

At a corporate level, three-and-five-year strategic plans are being shredded by external market shifts that change the very assumptions on which the plans are based.

At the personal level, many are finding it tough to keep up, and are “opting out”: either purposefully avoiding science and technology, or lashing out at society and joining – or sympathizing with – the Occupy movements. (We don’t see, interestingly, any Occupy Facebook movements, despite the fact that the Facebook ownership group are amongst the richest on the planet.)

There may not be a simple answer to the question of how to plan when change is constant, but here is some perspective that might help:

  1. Be the change: If there will be change, it is far better to be setting the agenda, than reacting to it. This suggests that organizations that are flexible, entrepreneurial and invest in “the new” will be more successful than those who are set-up only for the status quo.
  2. People are key: Dofasco, a large steel mill, used to advertise “Our product is steel – our strength is people.” While the name may have changed slightly (they were acquired), the slogan stands: A thinking workforce that can track the market and reinvent itself as conditions change is critical. Furthermore, within each organization there is an internal social network, teams, processes, and infrastructure — that functions because of the people. To do list: recruit the best, invest in them, and let them reinvent themselves – and the organization.
  3. Partnerships: No longer can one entity hope to have 100% of the skills internally for any eventuality – or to take advantage of any immediate opportunity. Partnerships can be set up for the long or short term, for all or some of the value chain, to provide a non-core capability, or to provide peak production capacity. Planning for an uncertain future requires an understanding that anything might actually be possible, when looking beyond your internal capability.
  4. Intellectual Property: We’re only now seeing the beginning of the patent wars between Microsoft, Google, Apple, Samsung, and others. These organizations have realized that a sustainable competitive advantage is only sustainable if they have something unique that differentiates them in the market. IP does this, and so does Brand. Not surprisingly there is a direct connection between the quality of the people, and the quality of the IP. In an uncertain future, IP is critical: can be exploited, licensed, and sold.
  5. Competitive Intelligence and Market Research: Especially amongst larger organizations, it’s too easy to focus on the internal, instead of the external. A sensitive antenna – market research and competitive intelligence – provides an early warning of potential paradigm shifts. And this early warning allows the organization to react accordingly.
  6. Directional Planning: While three-year strategic plans will always be done, a slight shift in approach can increase the organization’s resilience. Instead of choosing an endpoint, and then choosing tactics to achieve that goal, consider the opposite approach: Set the direction first and then forecast the year one-two-three endpoints. If there are any major market changes, then a mid-course correction can easily be made, and new end-points can be established.

Planning for an uncertain future is difficult, but it can be made far easier when the organization itself is built to thrive in a changing world.

This week’s action plan:  What are you doing as an individual to make sure that you survive and thrive in a world where change is constant?  Look through this list again through a personal filter:  Are you setting the agenda or reacting to others?  Are you investing in yourself?  Do you seek support from others?  Are you generating your own IP?  Are you aware of what’s happening in your field? Do you have a plan for your career (and your life)?

Note: The Make It Happen Tipsheet is also available by email. Go to www.RandallCraig.com to register.

Randall Craig

www.RandallCraig.com
www.ptadvisors.com
www.ProfessionallySpeakingTV.com

Viewpoint: Risky Business

by RandallCraig October 26, 2011

Picture this scenario: An employee gets charged with a serious offense and the company’s name gets mentioned repeatedly in the news reports.  The reporters found the connection to your organization by scanning through Social Media. Or this scenario: A subcontractor tweets (or posts pictures) celebrating the conclusion of a major, confidential project. This alerts competitors, [...]

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Social Media Risk Takers

by RandallCraig March 17, 2009

Just about everybody has heard about Facebook, LinkedIn, MySpace, and YouTube. Avid users talk about connecting with family, networking with past colleagues, and meeting new contacts. Social media sites allow this to happen, and much more. You can post photos, blogs, “status updates”, job history, family relationships, event listings, and just about anything you can [...]

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Nickels and Dimes

by RandallCraig August 7, 2007

If you had a choice to be paid either $50 or $100 for a service that you performed, which would you choose? Most of us would choose the greater amount; after all, if we have to do the work, why not be paid as much as the market will bear? Take the money and run! [...]

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